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基于Prophet与LSTM联合模型的内波环境声速剖面预测方法研究

Research on sound speed profile prediction method in internal wave environment based on a combined Prophet and LSTM model

  • 摘要: 针对海洋内波环境下的声速剖面预测问题,本文提出了一种基于Prophet和长短时记忆网络(long short-term memory network, LSTM)联合模型的时间序列预测方法。首先利用Prophet模型检测并修正内波引起的异常值,以降低异常扰动对预测的影响;随后,采用LSTM模型对修正后的数据进行时序预测,实现声速剖面的准确重构。实验结果表明,该方法在有效降低内波干扰并提升预测精度方面具有显著优势,为复杂海洋环境下的声速剖面预测提供了新的思路和技术手段。

     

    Abstract: Addressing the challenge of predicting sound speed profiles in oceanic internal waves environments, this study introduces a hybrid time series forecasting method that integrates Prophet and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models. Initially, the Prophet model is utilized to detect and correct anomalies caused by internal waves, thereby mitigating the impact of irregular disturbances on the prediction. Subsequently, the LSTM model is employed to forecast the time series of the corrected data, enabling accurate reconstruction of the sound speed profiles. Experimental results demonstrate that this combined approach effectively reduces internal waves interference and enhances prediction accuracy, providing novel insights and technical solutions for sound speed profile forecasting in complex marine environments.

     

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