Abstract: The seabed topography has an important influence on the acoustic stealth of seabed targets. Effectively evaluating the discovery probability of seabed target deployment areas is one of the basic elements for selecting the best seabed target deployment points. From the perspective of using the unique topographic environment of seamounts to reduce the probability of seabed targets being discovered by active detection sound sources, this paper simulates and calculates the three-dimensional sound ray structure, sound propagation loss, and seabed reverberation clutter, and analyzes the distribution pattern of sound impact areas under the influence of seamounts. A method for evaluating the site selection of seabed targets based on the discovery probability grid is proposed, which uses the active sonar equation, statistical detection theory, and route shortcut model to calculate the probability of seabed target discovery, combined with hierarchical gridding of the seabed area, and simulation experiments are carried out using actual seabed terrain data. The simulation results show that the probability of discovery in the top area of the seamount slope is about 60.0%, the probability of discovery in the bottom area of the seamount slope is about 70.0%, and the probability of discovery in the high-altitude area around the seamount is about 65%. The model can realize the quantitative analysis and visualization of the discovery probability of the seabed target area and support the prediction of hidden site selection for seabed targets.